London
CNN
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For two weeks, America's friends carry their tongues. Since his inauguration chief Donald Trump has enjoyed a continuous movement of warm words – and very few criticisms – from the leaders of Europe and the Anglovir who, separately, may abandon the noise and bring it to the White House.
But this agreement was never binding, and this week was destroyed after Trump called perhaps the most provocative idea of ​​foreign policy: Gaza was taken under US control, its Palestinian population moved, and the pocket redevelopment to “the Riviera in the Middle East.”
The proposal seemed to be in immediate contracts of Western policies, as it moved away from the “two -state solution” model that had been established long ago, albeit out of progress in terms of progress.
Nations rushed to reject them. The reaction of America's allies in the region with disbelief and anxiety over the impact of the call on living diplomatic efforts, especially the continuous ceasefire and the hostilities between Israel and Hamas. The Palestinians have expressed their dissatisfaction with the possibility of leaving their homeland.
In Europe, where the United States usually has less complex relations, leaders diverge in tone but were clear in their position: they do not support this.
However, Trump left America partners in a difficult place. Criticism of the United States is the last resort of many leaders – doing this early on a presidential period fraught with negative aspects.
“My reading is that they are all full. John B
There is a wider and more widespread resonance as well. Trump's history of random geopolitical interventions has already threatened to isolate the United States ideologically, slowly, among its global allies. His statements on Gaza – whether it represents an idea, a plan or something between them – may accelerate this process.
“This administration is not only an instinct, but it is an appetite that must be turbulent,” said alterman. “The deepest research in Europe, on how it is satisfied with interacting with the United States that is self -absorbing, and less committed to supporting a multilateral system.”
Most Western countries are cautious about the inability to predict Trump to the White House, but they were more willing to win the second elections than the beginning.
They expected a test like this. Their responses to the Gaza Plan in Trump highlighted how they could address Trump 2.0 on a larger scale.
There is no plan: The analyst analyzes the Gaza Plan Trump as illogical
The United Nations was strong, and the Secretary -General was warning Trump against “ethnic cleansing”. France said the proposal would be a “serious violation of international law.” (The forced population is prohibited by the Geneva Convention. In Western Europe, the broken right -wing GEERT Wilders, the Dutch extremist, broke the rows of support for the plan. “Let the Palestinians move to Jordan.
German President Walter Steinmeier said the proposal was “unacceptable”, and the country's foreign minister, Analeina Perbuk, said that he would “lead to new suffering and new hatred.”
“As a professional diplomat, my job has always been to explain the interests of the American government in the best possible light. Eric Nelson, the former Trump ambassador to Bosnia, said later the assistant director of the German Center for the European Center for Security in Munich, the former Trump ambassador in Bosnia said, later. “It was very difficult to expect what he would do after that.”
“In Germany, the government's reaction is as expected: it is very rejecting,” he pointed out. The federal elections coming from the incentive for the German government besieged by Trump's condemnation, which are not widely popular in the country and through Western Europe.
It is Trump's dynamic team that will be relaxed. “They will not expect Western capitals to erupt in the choir of” I, too, share us! “” We don't have to agree with our friends 100 % of time. ”
Moreover, German Chancellor Olaf Schools and his government have no great incentive to decline: they are not in power next month to clarify chaos.
But criticizing the American president is not easy for everyone.
Take Britain. American fixed ally is desperate to a fruitful relationship with Trump, and early signs indicate that an attack on the magic of Prime Minister Kiir Starmer is fruits. Trump said this week that Starmer was “very nice”, and hinted that the UK could avoid the definitions he threatened to the European Union. This is the huge carrot of a British leader looking everywhere for Kickstart for economic growth.
However, these bridges are based on sand. London is fully aware that the non -ruling note can increase months of work to satisfy Trump. Meanwhile, the sideline custodian defines the appearance of the American president; It is exactly what he once called criticism in the heads of the province.
The puzzle forces some exact words. “Regarding the Gaza issue, Donald Trump is right,” David Lami, Starmer Foreign Minister, told reporters of Ukraine this week. “Looking at these scenes, the Palestinians who were subjected to a terrible start within several months of the war, it is clear that Gaza is lying in the rubble.” The rest was for all: “We have always been clear in our opinion that we must see two states and we must see the Palestinians able to live and prosper in their homelands in Gaza.”
A member of the Labor Party told CNN and his colleagues “museum” with Trump's proposal. But he said that there are many factors – including a direct ceasefire and a major commercial relationship – to ensure the president's public criticism. The deputy said that he had “great sympathy for (Starmer)” and he is trying “(preserving) the relationship as positive as possible.”
“The solid allies are definitely a strange approach to foreign policy,” the legislator added. “Will he do that with enemies?”
As with most Trump's most provocative comments, his suggestion in Gaza was mocked simultaneously and analyzed at home and abroad to obtain hints from the strategy.
Those familiar with his thinking suggested that throwing an unstable standard can be created – whether by design or not – a urgency between America's allies to reach something better. “He enjoys keeping people in the interactive situation,” Nelson said.
“We have seen this play from President Trump several times before … this is the art of the deal,” added sales. “Most of the Western allies in the United States are stuck in a rut when it comes to thinking about the Israeli -Palestinian conflict … in the first period, the Trump administration realized that this path was blocked.”
But if the abolition of the borrowed diplomatic stalemate is the plan, then this comes with the risks that America's allies will not be welcomed. “Sometimes when you cancel the freezing of things, you can unleash the forces that are much more negative than you can start thinking,” Alterman said.
Among them is an American isolation on global issues that will create a vacuum for international leadership. Alterman warned: “A number of countries will feel that they need a different relationship with Russia and China.” “Partially so that they do not depend on the United States, (and) partially because they do not see the moral benefits of a close relationship with the United States.”
This danger increases in the context of Trump's moves of the punishment, exit or criticism of international agencies, and the dismantling of the USAID Agency (USAID).
Nelson said: “People confuse the American Agency for International Development with a charity,” Nelson said. “The Americans are among the most charitable people in the world. But making strategic investments is an important way for us to support our friends and expand our influence.”
This will not be the last geopolitical rupture between Trump and Europe. Many are already looking forward to possible negotiations to end Russia's war in Ukraine with interest; Trump previously suggested that the Ukrainian lands be waived to Moscow, and officials in NATO countries have long been afraid that the proposed arrangement that leaves Kiev and European capitals would be announced.
They will seek to publish these concerns next week, when it is expected that many members of the Trump Interior Circle-Foreign Minister Marco Rubio, Vice President, Jane Vans and Ukraine envoy Russia Keith Kelej-will travel to the Munich Security Conference in Germany.
“I hope the administration will follow a more balanced and accountable approach to Ukraine,” Nelson said. “One hopes that Trump will largely rely on expert advice,” he added.
In more issues, Trump's global honeymoon appears to have ended. And if Western countries need a reminder of the turmoil that it can inject into global affairs, they have.
“The Biden Administration tried to be reliable and predictable” on the world stage. “The Trump administration has exactly the opposite instinct.”
